SIGNAL: Regime shift in Fed Policy
Posted: Sat Nov 19, 2022 1:17 pm
" Whether they admit it or not... You have an entire millennial generation who just got body bagged by buying crypto.
It was supposed to be their nest egg - their retirement fund. US politics will tap into this phenomena and capture that dissenting Millennial voting audience who will no doubt support politics with a 'sound money' ticket.
Once we're done with the present Rate Hikes... THERE IS NO RATE CUT. no pivot
THe FED will raise but they will not pivot lower... We have a regime shift in policy. (Because you have to go all the way back to Paul Volker to find it). Powell is clearly saying it... "I'm doing a Volker" , people just don't want to listen, or to hear it.
But the bond market is listening. Rates are up and headed higher. 2 year yield up... 10 year yield was down this week, so you have the most inverted yield curve EVER.. (Which is a very long time).
If you have a regime shift at the FED, then the consequence is that this should be a recession that no generation has ever seen before."
Kieth Mccullough, Hedgeye CEO. (17th Nov 2022)
It was supposed to be their nest egg - their retirement fund. US politics will tap into this phenomena and capture that dissenting Millennial voting audience who will no doubt support politics with a 'sound money' ticket.
Once we're done with the present Rate Hikes... THERE IS NO RATE CUT. no pivot
THe FED will raise but they will not pivot lower... We have a regime shift in policy. (Because you have to go all the way back to Paul Volker to find it). Powell is clearly saying it... "I'm doing a Volker" , people just don't want to listen, or to hear it.
But the bond market is listening. Rates are up and headed higher. 2 year yield up... 10 year yield was down this week, so you have the most inverted yield curve EVER.. (Which is a very long time).
If you have a regime shift at the FED, then the consequence is that this should be a recession that no generation has ever seen before."
Kieth Mccullough, Hedgeye CEO. (17th Nov 2022)