Monday Margin call = Sellers beware
Posted: Fri Sep 15, 2023 10:58 pm
IMO last week's action created pretty significant a bear trap. There's no doubt this new ASX news and Debt pivot has totally caught the market off guard.
Any shorts steaming in on Margin last week, based on that horrible looking chart last week, will be under serious pressure come Monday.
I Couldn't help but notice most of the usual bashers and bandits Sharkey Plode Bellend75 and that Fred Dobbs had more or less disappeared off LSE and ADVFN over the past day or so. That could mean they 1) got out on that 47m day big volume day yesterday? Possibly.. we won't know until middle of next week or 2) they plan to hit hard next week.
It's crystal clear to me the Big Picture the Narrative at GGP has monumentally changed. There will be NO dilution ... It's confirmed Havieron will be funded from cash and debt. The Market did not expect this and its a testament to balls deep support we're getting from Wyloo.
This is obviously speculation, BUT if people don't sell into the GDXJ spike to 7.9p open on Monday am, and maybe even buy a bit ate th bargain price of 7p .. we could easily hold around 7.6/7.7/7.8 as margin calls come at the open, following this largish 11m GDXJ buy on Friday.
The Fact is, after the fund raise News leak Ortex jumped form 30/35m up to 58m. These bigger shorts were in at around 8.5p - 9p were obviously banking on a fund raise to get out. Now they have NO exit liquidity event. If they want a profit they need to close now.
Also any major sellers should also now be out. We've had this horrible run in the SP and a load of big new additions to the register hoovering up around 5% of the companyk - Ned at Jupiter and these Global Prime Brokers with 119m so thats 220m ( the same as GDXJ). And it took them months to accumulate those positions
Any New trader types spotting todays breakout which only came after hours - the 1 week to 1 month hold types - could be holding for Scallywag/Rio results (possibly next week) plus the town hall and any associated news
As a consequence, if people all make a concerted effort to collectively hold tight on Monday Am we could really pressure the 50-60m boys..
It's risky IMO being a hero trader on Monday and say trying to dump 500k or a million to buy back lower . This could easily and quickly step up into the 8s as shorts start squeezing... And that puts even more upward pressure on them.
Remember, once a massivelypopular stock starts reversing, it moves fast. we were once the best stock on AIM. As shorts exit any money on the sidelines waiting for the reversal trade piles back in the whole thing gains momentum... quickly reversing.
We know there is a 3-5 days reporting lag on ortex data . Ortex data collected Friday 15th September Impled 62.47m shares on loan, (-900k) This is a recent peak in short activity....
Interesting also that just 2 days before showed an increase to 63.37m shares on loan, +1.57m - (which most probably behind Monday's carnage).
All I'm saying is Sellers Beware.... becuase a confluence of reasons can easily create a and alchemy for fast uplift in this stock. Plus it looks like t will be the 3rd pop at 9p and the 3rd pop - that's often pretty Bullish too.
A lot of people are watching this share. A load of the early holders that bailed in the 20s and 30s might have spotted this move and news and be ready to pile back in given Shaun Days impresive steamship and Wyloos unflinching support
Looks like the gold price is on our side too. Today we had an odd confluence - Today Bond yields were up across the curve and amazing to see that gold was up quite a lot while Dollar was flat.
With oil in the $90s again inflation is black and its the sticky type,... Gold is totally sniffing something big and it's about to break out much higher IMO,
Good luck all. Jeez we deserve it.
Any shorts steaming in on Margin last week, based on that horrible looking chart last week, will be under serious pressure come Monday.
I Couldn't help but notice most of the usual bashers and bandits Sharkey Plode Bellend75 and that Fred Dobbs had more or less disappeared off LSE and ADVFN over the past day or so. That could mean they 1) got out on that 47m day big volume day yesterday? Possibly.. we won't know until middle of next week or 2) they plan to hit hard next week.
It's crystal clear to me the Big Picture the Narrative at GGP has monumentally changed. There will be NO dilution ... It's confirmed Havieron will be funded from cash and debt. The Market did not expect this and its a testament to balls deep support we're getting from Wyloo.
This is obviously speculation, BUT if people don't sell into the GDXJ spike to 7.9p open on Monday am, and maybe even buy a bit ate th bargain price of 7p .. we could easily hold around 7.6/7.7/7.8 as margin calls come at the open, following this largish 11m GDXJ buy on Friday.
The Fact is, after the fund raise News leak Ortex jumped form 30/35m up to 58m. These bigger shorts were in at around 8.5p - 9p were obviously banking on a fund raise to get out. Now they have NO exit liquidity event. If they want a profit they need to close now.
Also any major sellers should also now be out. We've had this horrible run in the SP and a load of big new additions to the register hoovering up around 5% of the companyk - Ned at Jupiter and these Global Prime Brokers with 119m so thats 220m ( the same as GDXJ). And it took them months to accumulate those positions
Any New trader types spotting todays breakout which only came after hours - the 1 week to 1 month hold types - could be holding for Scallywag/Rio results (possibly next week) plus the town hall and any associated news
As a consequence, if people all make a concerted effort to collectively hold tight on Monday Am we could really pressure the 50-60m boys..
It's risky IMO being a hero trader on Monday and say trying to dump 500k or a million to buy back lower . This could easily and quickly step up into the 8s as shorts start squeezing... And that puts even more upward pressure on them.
Remember, once a massivelypopular stock starts reversing, it moves fast. we were once the best stock on AIM. As shorts exit any money on the sidelines waiting for the reversal trade piles back in the whole thing gains momentum... quickly reversing.
We know there is a 3-5 days reporting lag on ortex data . Ortex data collected Friday 15th September Impled 62.47m shares on loan, (-900k) This is a recent peak in short activity....
Interesting also that just 2 days before showed an increase to 63.37m shares on loan, +1.57m - (which most probably behind Monday's carnage).
All I'm saying is Sellers Beware.... becuase a confluence of reasons can easily create a and alchemy for fast uplift in this stock. Plus it looks like t will be the 3rd pop at 9p and the 3rd pop - that's often pretty Bullish too.
A lot of people are watching this share. A load of the early holders that bailed in the 20s and 30s might have spotted this move and news and be ready to pile back in given Shaun Days impresive steamship and Wyloos unflinching support
Looks like the gold price is on our side too. Today we had an odd confluence - Today Bond yields were up across the curve and amazing to see that gold was up quite a lot while Dollar was flat.
With oil in the $90s again inflation is black and its the sticky type,... Gold is totally sniffing something big and it's about to break out much higher IMO,
Good luck all. Jeez we deserve it.