GGPChat

Hydrogen wrote: ↑Thu Jul 28, 2022 4:12 pm Now IMO this TOTALLY Feels to me like the shorts are fighting each other... trade for trade.

This action isn't Pis, put it that way... (MAYBE)

This week was just the early skirmishes, the smash n grabs. But IMO, make no mistake, they have hardly moved off the starting blocks... THe main event - a 30-40% day is ded ahead. (MAYBE)

So The Shorts are increasing -2m a DAY (FACT) ... BUT why? Are they trying to hold it down. Damage limitation tactics? (MAYBE)

I'm not sure... But the SP is much, much higher than the 82m Plus stock on loan (which if sold) would IMPLY (MAYBE) the SP has become fully unshackled from the Short for the first time in 8-9 MONTHS (MAYBE)

Could it be that one of the shorts has bought back the majority, but is at the same time holding and loaning more stock, - essentially holding all that's available to loan ? - to block the other short from operating... ? (MAYBE)

Could it be that 1 Institution is essentially blocking access to loan shares, to protect a new long POSITION? (MAYBE)

This is A (ONE, POSSIBLE) logical explanation to the SP shooting up and the Loan Stock shooting up in tandem... or we are going to some seriously explosive squeeze action and soon. (MAYBE)

And where are Implode, Toothless Twit-face and bog eyed Biggles now? (possibly tired of being abused for not immediately agreeing with the big short narrative)

Bricking lumps somewhere? Probably (MAYBE) . I take a degree of pleasure at the thought, that through reckless greed and arrogance they are about to lose all their PROFITS (MAYBE), to the dark Dog eat Dog world they (POSSIBLY) inhabit.

And yes, My smile continues to widen. Quite a lot.

#Superstock. Squeeze THEM (MAYBE)

Hydrogen wrote: ↑Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:27 pm I think we all get the picture... Question is are they Genuine shorts about to get crucified, or, Sacrificial shorts designed to facilitate accumulation.

FuttBucker wrote: ↑Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:57 pm

Hydrogen wrote: ↑Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:27 pm I think we all get the picture... Question is are they Genuine shorts about to get crucified, or, Sacrificial shorts designed to facilitate accumulation.

...or just a moderate amount of unrelated shorts which is a reasonable expectation for one of the highest profile AIM stocks.

FuttBucker wrote: ↑Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:57 pm

Hydrogen wrote: ↑Thu Jul 28, 2022 5:27 pm I think we all get the picture... Question is are they Genuine shorts about to get crucified, or, Sacrificial shorts designed to facilitate accumulation.

...or just a moderate amount of unrelated shorts which is a reasonable expectation for one of the highest profile AIM stocks.

Spondy wrote: ↑Tue Aug 02, 2022 9:18 am What are the triggers that will make a short decide to buy back the shorted shares?

Who knows when/if panic sets in, or something unexpected happens... circular firing squad initiated... ?

Could never buying the shares back be a cheaper option than paying the market price?
The shares are on loan from the likes of VanEck - they must be returned when they are recalled

Could they maintain the short indefinitely and continue to pay the fees for borrowing them?
Not really, not indefinitely: if growth drilling increases value they will eventually be closed, or, if there was a critical vote, like a takeover vote, for example, the shares would be recalled, or , because they may be recalled for some other reason ...

The Ortex short data topic most recently shows 2.14% freefloat on loan with 0.5% flagged. Acknowledging that not all shares on loan are necessarily shorted, is it correct to say the 1.64% unflagged must be distributed between a minimum of four parties for each of those to be less than 0.5% of the threshold to declare? I would agree with that.. - However we do not know for sure whether they may or may not be somehow related.

Unless multiple shorters decide to buy back at the same time and in a short period of time, is it possible the buying back could be absorbed into the daily volume and go relatively unnoticed and not affect the share price?

Well maybe - but If it was that easy, then they would be buying back now, surely? ...not over stretching their situation to defend their weakening position... Almost every imagined exit door they could have sought has now been closed... They totally misjudged the SP... Bank finance will slam another door shut. I reckon we have about $35m in the bank we only need to raise another $35 plus some contingency... IMO

I think it's been suggest before that a corporate predator on whos behalf the short is operated would be prepared to lose on the short in order to gain from a lower share price in the event of a corporate action. If this were the case would they may want to reduce or close the short either before or after making an offer?

Remains to be seen... But only another 6months of 2022 left and things are really looking up in the gold market... The prospect of a significant recession is being priced into the bond market with the Yield Curve now severely inverted. This will no doubt spur investment demand in safe haven assets like gold as the effects of long term elevated inflation destroys company earnings and access to free money, across almost all sectors...